Wednesday 1 December

Public Policy

National Security...in a very different world. 

Administrative Items for Class

• Announcements?

• What is "New & Groovy in Public Policy?" 

• EXAM ON MONDAY 8 DECEMBER 9:00am - Rule of Three, and Template next week.

THE PUBLIC POLICY TOOLKIT

• Definitions - What is public policy?

• Contexts - What information is needed when making policy?

• Models - What are specific ways to analyze policy making?

• Federalism - Recognizing Levels of Gov't & Tools Used

• Variables - Cause (IND) and Effect (DEP)

• Process  - Stages of Public Policy 

• Data Conclusions "Filling In Gaps" and Policy Consistency

• Policymaker Types 

• Lowi Policy Categories

• Evaluation  - EXTERNALITIES and UNCERTAINTIES

NATIONAL SECURITY POLICY

Mixing Foreign Policy and Defense Policy   

• HISTORY

• ACTORS

• ISSUES

• STRATEGIES

WHAT ARE AMERICA'S TOP TWO NATIONAL SECURITY THREATS?

WHEN IS FORCE APPROPRIATE? 

   The Process of Securing the Nation...

• THREAT ASSESSMENT - FAS IMINT 101

•  STRATEGIES

•  FORCE LEVELS

• BUDGET REQUESTS

 FOREIGN POLICY TOOLS 

• DIPLOMATIC - State

• ECONOMIC- Commerce

• CULTURAL - FIPSE

• MILITARY- Defense
  

HISTORY

Isolationist  or Interventionist

Regional Player to Global Superpower

Gradual Change or Rapid Transformation

Monroe Doctrine – Local and/or Backyard

Spanish American War - TR

World War I – Global Assistance to European Neighbors

Interwar – Isolation or Not

December 7, 1941 – Not!

World War II

Two Front War   Europe and Asia/Pacific

Los Alamos, Trinity, Hiroshima and Nagasaki

Cold War

Nuclear – SU v. US

Korea – Cuba – Vietnam – The World through a Bipolar Lens

Containment – The "X" Article...

• NATO v. Warsaw Pact

• Marshall Plan  

• UN

Deterrence - carrying a VERY BIG stick - the extreme...MAD

Arms Control

• SALT I and II and ABM Treaty– limit amount of new nuclear weapons

• Nonproliferation -

• START I and II – Reduce the amount already in place  

Star Wars – 1983 – Ballistic Missile Defense and SDI

 End of the Cold War  - 1990 - What's Next, Who is Left?

NBC and Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation - WMD

WMD Info at CNS and at Carnegie Endowment

Chemicals and Biological

Expanding NATO to include old WTO "enemies"

  New threats and New Enemies

Middle East  and Pacific Rim and South Asia and Missiles

Terrorism

• Gander, Newfoundland

• Pan Am 103..and my classmates at SU

• Waco/Ruby Ridge

• Oklahoma City

• September 11, 2001  

• Operation Enduring Freedom

  • Taliban Armored Vehicles in Kandahar, Afghanistan, Pre-strike.
    
  • Taliban Armored Vehicles in Kandahar, Afghanistan, Post-strike.

ACTORS

The National Security Team  

POTUS  and VP and NSA Coordinating (CIA/DCI, DIA, NRO, FBI and NSA) and CJCS/JCS and SecDef/DOD (Army, Navy, Air Force, Marines, Coast Guard) and SecState/DoS and Homeland Security and the HSA

Others - GlobalSecurity.org

ACTIVITIES

Nuclear Triad

BM = Ballistic Missile

CM’s = Cruise Missile  

• Sea       SLBMs from SSBNs “Boomers” protected by SSN “Hunter-Killer
• Land    ICBMs with MIRVs   In Silos
• Air       ALCM B-52s and B-1s

Megatons 1,000,000 tons of TNT

v.      

WWII 20 Kiltons  or 20,000 tons of TNT

WHAT SHOULD WE SPEND OUR MILITARY BUDGET ON?

Intelligence

Transportation

Support

War Fighting